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Our special feature on forecasting sheds light on how to choose the right model, offers advice from Jack Stack and more.
Get startedThe budgeting process is on the horizon. You might be tempted to add (or subtract, depending on your outlook) 5 to 10 percent to prior year's numbers, call it a budgeting day and focus your leadership strengths on running the business.
A deeper but relatively quick evaluation of your business could be useful, not only to budgeting but also planning strategically and growing profitability. Look at these four elements.
1. Change
Think about changes that your business will be initiating in the coming year and those outside of your control. These might include:
Study changes in a strategic planning session with your management team or during solitary reflection about your business direction. Project their impact on your financial statements, either before you begin the budgeting process or when you develop the budget.
2. Sales
Your approach to developing sales projections will vary, depending on the depth of your customer base and product lines as well as the structure of your sales organization. For example, if you have a handful of accounts that comprise 80 percent of your business, then ask your key account managers to project their sales or meet with these customers yourself to talk about their needs and buying plans in the next 12 to 18 months. If your customer base is much broader, then ask your field sales managers to prepare sales estimates; analyze trends and project sales associated with categories such as geography, industry, and referral source; or talk with a representative group of customers about their plans.
At the same time, identify sales drivers among your merchandise categories, core basics, trending SKUs, and service offerings, including those services delivered electronically. If your product or service is a big ticket item, evaluate your sales pipeline. Marry your hopes for the coming year with results from prior years to develop realistic projections.
For cash management purposes, get a sense of when sales will happen and when you'll have cash in hand as a result of sales based on factors such as:
3. Operating Expenses
Your business might budget expenses based on a well-organized, custom chart of accounts or simply reflect sources of income and expense deductions from a corporate tax return. Whatever you do, consider how various line items can be consolidated to get a holistic view of your business:
Explore how sales and expenses are linked. (For example, are inventory plans lined up with sales projections; are marketing dollars allocated to visiting a key client; will going green save money on utilities; will new pricing strategies reduce sales volume but eliminate the need for contract labor; etc.) Make adjustments to synchronize finances associated with your business operations.
4. Strategic Expenses
Many of the coming year's expenses may position your company for future success but not directly influence sales, service levels, or the efficiency of your back-office operations. These may include costs of research and development projects, legal fees to apply for a patent or trademark, and startup cost of an ecommerce business.
If your company has just obtained a patent and forged a licensing agreement using this intellectual property, then make sure that you reduce legal fees compared to prior years and increase income associated with royalties. Similarly, if the ecommerce business has been launched, plan appropriately for variations in sales and expenses.
Ask the right questions
When I worked as a staff accountant for an apparel manufacturer, the controller told me that the outside auditors used faulty logic when judging the reasonableness of our year-end financial statements. The lead auditor routinely questioned large increases and decreases compared to prior years. A more pertinent question, according to my boss, would have been to determine why a certain expense item remained flat when the volume of usage had skyrocketed or when the sales that this expense activity supported fell dramatically. Get to know your business, uncover changes in revenue streams and expense structures, and then see if your financial statements (and budgets) mesh.
Knowing your business inside and out can make a big difference for budgeting. If you're just going off of what you remember over the course of the last year, you may find that numbers are way off — our memories are nothing if not faulty. But if you actually do some in-depth review and give the matter some consideration, you can make sure the numbers actually work for next year.
For an easy but valuable strategic plan you should consider a blog post I wrote on www.theexecutiveplan.com
What is your vision for this business? What handful of strategies are you utilizing to reach your vision, and what day-to-day tactics are you using to best implement your strategy? If you do this one of two things will happen, you may realize you don’t need the extra capital right now to accomplish your vision, or you will determine what steps you need to take to prepare your business for success and a successful capital raising campaign.
As you develop this plan consider the following example.
Let’s say that your vision is to become the world’s premier online retailer of coffee mugs. This is a great vision because it is big, but also specific at the same time.
You will have a number of strategies including:
* Utilizing Google Adwords to attract interested potential buyers to your website
* Use search engine optimization to rank high in search engine results for relevant keywords
* Collaborate and partner with large coffee wholesalers and retailers to offer your products on their website.
So now you have 3 strategies to accomplish your vision, but you will need day-to-day tactics to successfully implement your strategies. For instance, if you are trying to rank high in search results for “coffee mug” you might use the following tactics.
* Write articles about coffee or even coffee mugs
* Create a blog and develop a loyal following that will tweet and retweet your blog posts to the masses
* Post comments and links to your site on other coffee related blogs or websites
Now take this outline and expand.
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Parag Shah 1 year 4 months and 29 days ago
Budgeting your small business is good business. Without a budget you're unable to make accurate predictions and keep your business profitable and going strong. If you're serious about being a successful business owner, you can't do without a business budget. The good news is, it doesn't have to be difficult. A simple spreadsheet and a little time can make all the difference.
http://www.financemetrics.com/tips-on-budgeting/